Iraklis Yerolakkouvs
Ayia Napa
COMPLETEDCyprus · 2. Division · 9/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Iraklis Yerolakkou · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Iraklis Yerolakkou 1-1 Ayia Napa
Original prediction
Iraklis Yerolakkou
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.62 | 34.3% | 44.7% | 10.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 26.9% | 26.4% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.32 | 38.8% | 28.9% | -9.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.34 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Iraklis Yerolakkou
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
44.7%
Iraklis Yerolakkou has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 15 · GA 14 · avg 3.00/2.80