GGOALVIO

Greece · Super League 1 · 10/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Iraklis 1908 · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Iraklis 1908 2-0 Levadiakos

Original prediction

Iraklis 1908

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 03:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2940.6%45.4%4.8 pts
Draw3.0031.0%28.7%-2.3 pts
Away3.2728.5%25.9%-2.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

4.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–014%
  2. 2.1–114%
  3. 3.0–013%

Predicted outcome

Iraklis 1908

Probability

45.4%

Model confidence

45.4%

Iraklis 1908 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Iraklis 1908DDWDL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
LevadiakosLDLLL

GF 0 · GA 9 · avg 0.00/1.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Iraklis 1908Levadiakos
26.7Attack0.0
60.0Defence40.0
40.0Form6.7
43.7Power20.0
1.36xG0.81
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