GGOALVIO

Greece · Super League 1 · 9/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Iraklis 1908 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Iraklis 1908 1-1 Atromitos

Original prediction

Iraklis 1908

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.8532.7%38.6%5.9 pts
Draw3.0730.3%28.6%-1.8 pts
Away2.5336.9%32.8%-4.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.07 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

5.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.0–010%

Predicted outcome

Iraklis 1908

Probability

38.6%

Model confidence

38.6%

Iraklis 1908 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Iraklis 1908WDLLD

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AtromitosDWLLW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Iraklis 1908Atromitos
33.3Attack22.2
44.4Defence55.6
44.4Form11.1
42.2Power32.9
1.35xG1.08
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