IR Reykjavikvs
Leiknir R.
COMPLETEDIceland · 1. Deild · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IR Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
IR Reykjavik 3-2 Leiknir R.
Original prediction
IR Reykjavik
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 53.5% | 42.8% | -10.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.02 | 22.7% | 21.1% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.84 | 23.8% | 36.1% | 12.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
IR Reykjavik
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
IR Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00