1. Deild1. Deild
Friday, 3 July 2026Last updated 12:37
IR Reykjavik

IR Reykjavik

Home
LDL
01
Full time
Afturelding

Afturelding

Away
DW
GoalVio prediction
51% confidence
Afturelding(51%)
Most likely exact score1-3
Prediction correct— Result: Afturelding
Win probability
IR Reykjavik
24%
Draw
25%
Afturelding
51%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
IR Reykjavik
23
Afturelding
73
Defence
IR Reykjavik
17
Afturelding
66
Momentum
IR Reykjavik
11
Afturelding
67
Danger (xG)
IR Reykjavik
0.60
Afturelding
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (IR Reykjavik)
0.60
avg per match
xG for (Afturelding)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (IR Reykjavik)
2.10
avg per match
xG against (Afturelding)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik
LDLL
AftureldingAfturelding
WWWWW

Probability breakdown

51% confidence
IR Reykjavik24%
Draw25%
Afturelding51%

Afturelding leads with 51% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

IR Reykjavik head into this in 1. Deild fixture in mixed form (LDL), while Afturelding arrive in mixed form (DW). IR Reykjavik have a 0% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 50% for Afturelding over 2 games.

Tactically, Afturelding hold the edge. Their strong attack (73/100) is pitted against a vulnerable IR Reykjavik defence (17/100), while IR Reykjavik's attack faces a solid Afturelding backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

IR Reykjavik have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Afturelding have been excellent on the road, winning all 2 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 3.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per away game.

Afturelding have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 1.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Afturelding to win with 51% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-3. Win probabilities: IR Reykjavik 2399%, Draw 2515%, Afturelding 5086%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

IR Reykjavik 0Draws 01 Afturelding
Avg goals: 1.0
3 Jul 2026
IR Reykjavik
L01
Afturelding

Recent form

IR Reykjavik

IR Reykjavik

L
@ HK Kopavogur
14 Jul 2026
15
D
vs Throttur Reykjavik
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11
L
vs Afturelding
3 Jul 2026
01
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@ Leiknir R.
26 Jun 2026
12
Afturelding

Afturelding

W
vs Leiknir R.
16 Jul 2026
32
W
@ Völsungur
11 Jul 2026
61
W
@ IR Reykjavik
3 Jul 2026
10
W
vs Ægir
29 Jun 2026
81
W
vs Njardvik
26 Jun 2026
20

Frequently asked questions

Who will win IR Reykjavik vs Afturelding?

GoalVio's model predicts Afturelding to win with 51% confidence.

What is the predicted score for IR Reykjavik vs Afturelding?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-3.

Will both teams score in IR Reykjavik vs Afturelding?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in IR Reykjavik vs Afturelding?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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