Ipswichvs
Logan Lightning
COMPLETEDAustralia · Queensland Premier League · 4/10/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ipswich · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Ipswich are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Logan Lightning are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ipswich hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.2% in the Queensland Premier League, while Ipswich holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ipswich
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
51.2%
Ipswich has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60