GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland Premier League · 4/10/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ipswich · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Ipswich are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Logan Lightning are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ipswich hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.2% in the Queensland Premier League, while Ipswich holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ipswich

Probability

51.2%

Model confidence

51.2%

Ipswich has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IpswichWDLWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Logan LightningLDDWW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
IpswichLogan Lightning
53.0Attack59.1
54.5Defence37.9
53.0Form40.9
54.1Power46.3
2.25xG1.49
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