Ipswich Town Wvs
London City Lionesses W
COMPLETEDEngland · WSL Cup · 9/30/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
London City Lionesses W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ipswich Town W 0-1 London City Lionesses W
Original prediction
London City Lionesses W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 28.31 | 3.2% | 21.3% | 18.1 pts |
| Draw | 9.46 | 9.7% | 21.4% | 11.8 pts |
| Away | 1.05 | 87.1% | 57.2% | -29.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-29.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
London City Lionesses W
Probability
57.2%
Model confidence
57.2%
London City Lionesses W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80