Ipswich Town U21vs
West Bromwich Albion U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League Cup · 10/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ipswich Town U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ipswich Town U21 2-2 West Bromwich Albion U21
Original prediction
Ipswich Town U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 44.0% | 42.0% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.86 | 23.5% | 24.6% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.79 | 32.5% | 33.4% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.86 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Ipswich Town U21
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Ipswich Town U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 17 · avg 2.20/3.40
GF 11 · GA 14 · avg 2.20/2.80