Ipswich Town U21vs
Birmingham City U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League 2 Division One · 10/23/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ipswich Town U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ipswich Town U21 5-0 Birmingham City U21
Original prediction
Ipswich Town U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 19:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.47 | 61.4% | 52.3% | -9.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.95 | 18.3% | 21.5% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 4.44 | 20.4% | 26.2% | 5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–17%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Ipswich Town U21
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
Ipswich Town U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20