IpatingavsVilla Nova

Ipatinga are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Villa Nova are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Villa Nova hold a 38.5-point power-rating edge (15.9 v 54.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.4% in the Mineiro - 2, while Villa Nova holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.