Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Ipatinga are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while CRAC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.1 against 52.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
37.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60