Inverness CTvs
Stenhousemuir
COMPLETEDScotland · Championship · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Inverness CT 0-1 Stenhousemuir, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Inverness CT 2-0 Stenhousemuir
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 48.5% | 32.5% | -16.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.3% | 30.2% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 3.76 | 24.3% | 37.3% | 13.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.9 pts
Projected Score
Inverness CT 0–1 Stenhousemuir
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.2%
Model confidence
37.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Inverness CTWDWLL
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
StenhousemuirWWWLW
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
37.5Attack50.0
62.5Defence91.7
41.7Form91.7
48.8Power80.8
0.66xG1.16