Inverness CTvs
Morton
COMPLETEDScotland · Championship · 9/25/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Inverness CT · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Inverness CT 1-0 Morton, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Inverness CT 2-0 Morton
Original prediction
Inverness CT
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.32 | 69.4% | 52.9% | -16.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.59 | 19.9% | 26.3% | 6.4 pts |
| Away | 8.50 | 10.7% | 20.8% | 10.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.5 pts
Projected Score
Inverness CT 1–0 Morton
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Inverness CT
Probability
52.9%
Model confidence
52.9%
Inverness CT has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Inverness CTDWLLD
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
MortonLLLDL
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Inverness CTMorton
33.3Attack19.0
57.1Defence38.1
33.3Form4.8
43.4Power24.4
1.43xG0.69