GGOALVIO

Scotland · League Cup · 7/15/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Inverness CT · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Inverness CT are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 5.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Inverness CT hold a 44.0-point power-rating edge (75.3 v 31.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the League Cup, while Inverness CT holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Inverness CT

Probability

45.5%

Model confidence

45.5%

Inverness CT has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Inverness CTWW

GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 5.00/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticLLW

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
Inverness CTBonnyrigg Rose Athletic
41.7Attack8.3
91.7Defence66.7
83.3Form8.3
75.3Power31.2
1.54xG0.86
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