Inverness CTvs
Arbroath
COMPLETEDScotland · Championship · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Inverness CT · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Inverness CT 1-0 Arbroath, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Inverness CT 2-0 Arbroath
Original prediction
Inverness CT
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 12:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 62.0% | 58.8% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.98 | 23.0% | 26.4% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 6.07 | 15.1% | 14.8% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Projected Score
Inverness CT 1–0 Arbroath
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Inverness CT
Probability
58.8%
Model confidence
58.8%
Inverness CT has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Inverness CTLWWDW
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ArbroathLLWLL
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Inverness CTArbroath
40.0Attack20.0
63.3Defence53.3
43.3Form36.7
50.3Power39.7
1.23xG0.49