Internazionale U19vs
Shakhtar Donetsk U19
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Youth League · 10/21/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Internazionale U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Internazionale U19 2-0 Shakhtar Donetsk U19
Original prediction
Internazionale U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 64.9% | 45.8% | -19.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.49 | 20.2% | 24.7% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 6.06 | 15.0% | 29.5% | 14.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Internazionale U19
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Internazionale U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60