GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 4/1/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Internacional are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sao Paulo are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Sao Paulo hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (44.8 v 49.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Serie A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

InternacionalWWLLD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Sao PauloLLWWW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
InternacionalSao Paulo
34.8Attack40.9
59.1Defence60.6
34.8Form40.9
44.8Power49.3
0.87xG0.93
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