GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 7/24/2024, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Internacional are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Rosario Central are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Internacional hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (55.1 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.8%

Model confidence

42.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

InternacionalLLDLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Rosario CentralWWLDD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
InternacionalRosario Central
29.2Attack33.3
79.2Defence58.3
50.0Form41.7
55.1Power47.4
0.91xG0.61
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