GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/11/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Internacional · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Internacional are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Real Tomayapo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Internacional hold a 27.5-point power-rating edge (55.1 v 27.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Internacional holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Internacional

Probability

48.8%

Model confidence

48.8%

Internacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

InternacionalDWWWW

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Real TomayapoWLLWD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
InternacionalReal Tomayapo
29.2Attack14.3
79.2Defence47.6
50.0Form9.5
55.1Power27.6
1.13xG0.43
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