GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Do Brasil · 8/27/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Internacional · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Internacional 0-0 Gremio

Original prediction

Internacional

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8849.6%39.4%-10.2 pts
Draw3.2328.9%28.1%-0.8 pts
Away4.3621.4%32.4%11.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.23 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-10.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–010%
  3. 3.0–110%

Predicted outcome

Internacional

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

39.4%

Internacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

InternacionalDDDLW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
GremioLLWWD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
InternacionalGremio
66.7Attack58.3
58.3Defence91.7
75.0Form83.3
69.1Power78.6
1.21xG1.21
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