GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 4/23/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Flamengo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Internacional are 2W-2D-0L in their last 4 (WDWD), averaging 1.25 scored and 0.75 conceded, while Flamengo are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (WWLL), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Flamengo hold a 21.4-point power-rating edge (44.8 v 66.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.7% in the Serie A, while Flamengo holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Flamengo

Probability

54.7%

Model confidence

54.7%

Flamengo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

InternacionalWDWD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.25/0.75

BTTS 3/4O2.5 1/4
FlamengoWWLL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/1.00

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
InternacionalFlamengo
34.8Attack61.9
59.1Defence71.4
34.8Form66.7
44.8Power66.2
0.60xG1.48
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