Internacional Palmiravs
Leones FC
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera B · 9/28/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Internacional Palmira · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Internacional Palmira 1-0 Leones FC, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Internacional Palmira 1-0 Leones FC
Original prediction
Internacional Palmira
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.53 | 59.3% | 51.3% | -8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.5% | 27.4% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 5.60 | 16.2% | 21.3% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.53 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.0 pts
Projected Score
Internacional Palmira 1–0 Leones FC
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Internacional Palmira
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
Internacional Palmira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60