La Equidadvs
Alianza Petrolera
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 4/13/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
La Equidad · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
La Equidad are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Alianza Petrolera are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and La Equidad hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 37.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.0% in the Primera A, while La Equidad holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
La Equidad
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
La Equidad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60