Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Intercity · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Intercity 1-1 Yeclano
Original prediction
Intercity
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 44.0% | 42.6% | -1.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.95 | 30.9% | 29.3% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.65 | 25.0% | 28.1% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.95 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Intercity
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Intercity has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
IntercityWDDWL
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
YeclanoWLDWD
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
IntercityYeclano
66.7Attack50.0
66.7Defence50.0
100.0Form50.0
80.3Power50.0
1.52xG0.99