Intercityvs
Real Murcia II
SCHEDULEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · 11/25/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Intercity · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 62.0% | 53.4% | -8.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.90 | 23.2% | 25.1% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 6.13 | 14.8% | 21.4% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Intercity
Probability
53.4%
Model confidence
53.4%
Intercity has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
IntercityLDWDD
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Real Murcia IIDLWLL
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
IntercityReal Murcia II
40.0Attack26.7
53.3Defence33.3
40.0Form26.7
47.4Power31.4
1.60xG0.87