Intercityvs
Castellonense
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · 10/24/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Intercity · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Intercity 0-2 Castellonense
Original prediction
Intercity
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 19:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 52.0% | 37.1% | -14.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.9% | 29.2% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 4.11 | 22.1% | 33.7% | 11.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Intercity
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Intercity has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00