Intercityvs
Atlético Baleares
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · 9/13/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlético Baleares · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Intercity 2-2 Atlético Baleares
Original prediction
Atlético Baleares
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.83 | 31.8% | 30.4% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.86 | 31.5% | 30.0% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.46 | 36.7% | 39.5% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.86 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Atlético Baleares
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Atlético Baleares has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60