Inter Zapresicvs
Jarun
COMPLETEDCroatia · Second NL · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jarun · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Inter Zapresic 2-2 Jarun
Original prediction
Jarun
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 09:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.32 | 38.7% | 32.1% | -6.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 26.7% | 23.8% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 2.59 | 34.6% | 44.0% | 9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.37 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Jarun
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Jarun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Inter ZapresicWDLWL
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
JarunWWDDW
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Inter ZapresicJarun
45.8Attack71.4
50.0Defence52.4
45.8Form61.9
48.2Power63.7
1.39xG1.87