Intervs
Shakhtar Donetsk
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Champions League · 10/21/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Inter · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Inter 1-0 Shakhtar Donetsk
Original prediction
Inter
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 18:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.24 | 76.8% | 42.7% | -34.1 pts |
| Draw | 6.60 | 14.5% | 22.9% | 8.4 pts |
| Away | 10.94 | 8.7% | 34.4% | 25.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-34.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Inter
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Inter has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
InterWLWWD
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Shakhtar DonetskWWWWW
GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
InterShakhtar Donetsk
66.7Attack66.7
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form66.7
26.7Power68.0
1.47xG1.94