Intervs
Municipal Limeño
COMPLETEDEl-Salvador · Primera Division · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Inter · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Inter 1-2 Municipal Limeño
Original prediction
Inter
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 47.1% | 54.7% | 7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.6% | 25.1% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 3.54 | 25.3% | 20.3% | -5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Inter
Probability
54.7%
Model confidence
54.7%
Inter has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60