Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FAS · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Inter 0-0 FAS, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Inter 2-2 FAS
Original prediction
FAS
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.74 | 24.3% | 34.8% | 10.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.6% | 28.9% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 1.89 | 48.1% | 36.3% | -11.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.30 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.8 pts
Projected Score
Inter 0–0 FAS
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
FAS
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
FAS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
InterLWWWW
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
FASWWLWD
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
InterFAS
50.0Attack58.3
75.0Defence70.8
62.5Form66.7
62.5Power65.4
1.01xG0.90