GGOALVIO

El-Salvador · Primera Division · 9/27/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Inter · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Inter 1-0 Atletico Balboa, with an exact score probability of 19%.

Prediction record

Final result

Inter 1-1 Atletico Balboa

Original prediction

Inter

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6055.6%56.8%1.2 pts
Draw3.4925.5%25.6%0.1 pts
Away4.7218.9%17.6%-1.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.49 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.2 pts

Projected Score

Inter 1–0 Atletico Balboa

Exact score probability: 19%

Predicted outcome

Inter

Probability

56.8%

Model confidence

56.8%

Inter has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

InterDDWLW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico BalboaLWLLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
InterAtletico Balboa
48.5Attack36.4
75.8Defence51.5
60.6Form36.4
62.0Power43.5
1.59xG0.47
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