Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Inter U23 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Triestina are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00