Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Inter U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Inter U23 2-1 Scafatese
Original prediction
Inter U23
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 40.5% | 36.5% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.7% | 27.1% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.94 | 30.8% | 36.4% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Inter U23
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Inter U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Inter U23DLWLW
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ScafateseWDWWD
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Inter U23Scafatese
63.3Attack48.1
40.0Defence63.0
46.7Form59.3
50.7Power59.4
1.50xG1.61