Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Inter U23 are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Novara are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Inter U23 hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80