Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Inter U23 are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (DDW), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Lecco are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Inter U23 hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.2% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.67/1.33
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80