Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Inter U23 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 1-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Inter U23 3-2 Foggia
Original prediction
Inter U23
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 18:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 40.4% | 39.0% | -1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 28.9% | 30.2% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.97 | 30.6% | 30.8% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.1–014%
Predicted outcome
Inter U23
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Inter U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Inter U23WLLDW
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FoggiaDLLDW
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Inter U23Foggia
50.0Attack35.1
50.0Defence61.4
50.0Form42.1
50.0Power47.8
1.15xG0.87