GGOALVIO

Finland · Ykkönen · 9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

TPV · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Inter Turku II 3-0 TPV

Original prediction

TPV

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9546.5%37.6%-8.9 pts
Draw4.0222.6%19.9%-2.6 pts
Away2.9331.0%42.5%11.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

11.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–18%
  2. 2.1–28%
  3. 3.2–28%

Predicted outcome

TPV

Probability

42.5%

Model confidence

42.5%

TPV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Inter Turku IILLLLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TPVWLWDD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Inter Turku IITPV
47.8Attack49.3
23.2Defence39.1
29.0Form39.1
34.8Power44.1
1.86xG2.18
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