Inter San Carlosvs
LD Alajuelense
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Primera División · 10/18/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
LD Alajuelense · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Inter San Carlos 0-1 LD Alajuelense, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Inter San Carlos 2-3 LD Alajuelense
Original prediction
LD Alajuelense
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 12:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.13 | 29.1% | 25.2% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.9% | 27.6% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.12 | 43.0% | 47.2% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Projected Score
Inter San Carlos 0–1 LD Alajuelense
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
LD Alajuelense
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
LD Alajuelense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20