Inter Playa del Carmenvs
Pioneros de Cancún
COMPLETEDMexico · Primera Premier · 9/8/2026, 2:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Inter Playa del Carmen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Inter Playa del Carmen 0-4 Pioneros de Cancún
Original prediction
Inter Playa del Carmen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 15:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 46.9% | 41.0% | -5.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.2% | 27.5% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.49 | 25.9% | 31.6% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Inter Playa del Carmen
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Inter Playa del Carmen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40