Inter Playa del Carmenvs
Irapuato
COMPLETEDMexico · Primera Premier · 10/24/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Irapuato · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Inter Playa del Carmen 0-2 Irapuato, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Inter Playa del Carmen 1-6 Irapuato
Original prediction
Irapuato
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.17 | 21.7% | 18.8% | -2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.4% | 23.1% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 1.71 | 52.9% | 58.1% | 5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.2 pts
Projected Score
Inter Playa del Carmen 0–2 Irapuato
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Irapuato
Probability
58.1%
Model confidence
58.1%
Irapuato has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60