Inter Playa del Carmenvs
Deportiva Venados
COMPLETEDMexico · Primera Premier · 10/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportiva Venados · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Inter Playa del Carmen 3-1 Deportiva Venados
Original prediction
Deportiva Venados
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 00:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.70 | 24.5% | 24.7% | 0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 25.1% | 24.4% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 1.80 | 50.4% | 50.9% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Deportiva Venados
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
50.9%
Deportiva Venados has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20