GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 3/5/2023, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Inter Miami · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Inter Miami are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Philadelphia Union are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Inter Miami hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (63.1 v 40.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.4% in the Major League Soccer, while Inter Miami holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Inter Miami

Probability

68.4%

Model confidence

68.4%

Inter Miami has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Inter MiamiWDLLW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Philadelphia UnionWWLWW

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Inter MiamiPhiladelphia Union
80.7Attack46.3
36.8Defence38.9
66.7Form29.6
63.1Power40.9
3.44xG1.50
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