Inter Miamivs
New York City FC
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 10/14/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Inter Miami · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Inter Miami 2-0 New York City FC
Original prediction
Inter Miami
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.54 | 61.1% | 47.4% | -13.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.60 | 20.4% | 25.6% | 5.1 pts |
| Away | 5.10 | 18.4% | 27.1% | 8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Inter Miami
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
Inter Miami has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40