Inter Miamivs
Nashville SC
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 9/12/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nashville SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Inter Miami 2-2 Nashville SC
Original prediction
Nashville SC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 47.9% | 34.0% | -13.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.02 | 23.4% | 26.4% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 3.28 | 28.7% | 39.6% | 10.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.02 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Nashville SC
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Nashville SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80