Major League SoccerMajor League Soccer
Wednesday, 22 July 2026Last updated 10:00
Inter Miami

Inter Miami

Home
W
32
Full time
Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire

Away
W
Nu Stadium
GoalVio prediction
46% confidence
Inter Miami(46%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Inter Miami
46%
Draw
22%
Chicago Fire
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Inter Miami
100
Chicago Fire
94
Defence
Inter Miami
6
Chicago Fire
66
Momentum
Inter Miami
100
Chicago Fire
100
Danger (xG)
Inter Miami
4.50
Chicago Fire
2.70
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Inter Miami)
4.50
avg per match
xG for (Chicago Fire)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Inter Miami)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Chicago Fire)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Inter MiamiInter Miami
W
Chicago FireChicago Fire
W

Probability breakdown

46% confidence
Inter Miami46%
Draw22%
Chicago Fire33%

Inter Miami leads with 46% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Inter Miami head into this in Major League Soccer fixture at Nu Stadium in mixed form (W), while Chicago Fire arrive in mixed form (W). Inter Miami have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Chicago Fire over 1 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Inter Miami (100/100) and Chicago Fire (94/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Inter Miami have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Chicago Fire have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Inter Miami and Chicago Fire in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Inter Miami to win with 46% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Inter Miami 4563%, Draw 2170%, Chicago Fire 3267%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Inter Miami

Inter Miami

W
@ FC Cincinnati
14 May 2026
53
Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire

W
@ DC United
14 May 2026
31

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire?

GoalVio's model predicts Inter Miami to win with 46% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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