GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 2/26/2023, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Inter Miami · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Inter Miami are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while CF Montreal are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Inter Miami hold a 25.3-point power-rating edge (63.1 v 37.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.2% in the Major League Soccer, while Inter Miami holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Inter Miami

Probability

72.2%

Model confidence

72.2%

Inter Miami has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Inter MiamiDLLWL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
CF MontrealWWWDD

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Inter MiamiCF Montreal
80.7Attack44.4
36.8Defence35.2
66.7Form29.6
63.1Power37.8
3.67xG1.43
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