Inter Miamivs
Atlanta United FC
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 9/5/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Inter Miami · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 4-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Inter Miami 2-2 Atlanta United FC
Original prediction
Inter Miami
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.32 | 71.0% | 74.8% | 3.8 pts |
| Draw | 5.81 | 16.2% | 13.7% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 7.33 | 12.8% | 11.5% | -1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.81 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.4–17%
Predicted outcome
Inter Miami
Probability
74.8%
Model confidence
74.8%
Inter Miami has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60