GGOALVIO

World · Leagues Cup · 7/25/2023, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Inter Miami · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Inter Miami are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Atlanta United FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Inter Miami hold a 24.5-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 21.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.8% in the Leagues Cup, while Inter Miami holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Inter Miami

Probability

48.8%

Model confidence

48.8%

Inter Miami has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Inter MiamiWLDDD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Atlanta United FCLLWWL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Inter MiamiAtlanta United FC
77.8Attack16.7
22.2Defence16.7
33.3Form16.7
45.5Power21.0
2.29xG1.39
View match centre →