Inter Lagosvs
Sporting Lagos
COMPLETEDNigeria · NPFL · 9/13/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Inter Lagos · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Inter Lagos 0-0 Sporting Lagos, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Inter Lagos 0-3 Sporting Lagos
Original prediction
Inter Lagos
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 53.8% | 39.0% | -14.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.8% | 30.6% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 4.90 | 18.5% | 30.4% | 11.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.7 pts
Projected Score
Inter Lagos 0–0 Sporting Lagos
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Inter Lagos
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Inter Lagos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Inter LagosLL
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50
BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Sporting LagosLDDLW
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Inter LagosSporting Lagos
16.7Attack34.3
50.0Defence61.9
0.0Form41.0
26.7Power47.5
0.88xG0.89